Hollsteen

Tesla

We are focused on bringing artificial intelligence (“AI”) into the real world, through products and services like Full Self-Driving (“FSD”) (Supervised) and Robotaxi, as well as working to develop and commercialize AI robots (“Bots”) (including Optimus).

10-K, Jan 29, 2026

Voices · third-party opinions, not SEC data

Not investment advice. They could be wrong or outdated. See the original source and date; the view may have changed.

What do investors say about Tesla?

George NobleInvestorJan 25, 2026Skeptical

Our summary: Noble called Tesla possibly the biggest bubble in stock market history, valuing the auto business at about $20 a share and fair value at $60-140.

“I think this is the biggest bubble possibly in stock market history”

B17 News interview ›
Details ⓘ
Speaker
George Noble, former director, Fidelity International fund
Role
Investor
Source
B17 News
Format
Interview
Date
Jan 25, 2026
Checked
Oct 15, 2026

Voice details · not SEC data. As stated on Jan 25, 2026; the view may have changed.

Ron BaronInvestorNov 14, 2025

Our summary: Baron said he sees the tech selloff as an opportunity and does not expect to sell his personal Tesla or SpaceX shares in his lifetime.

“I did not sell personally a single share”

CNBC interview ›
Details ⓘ

He said Baron Funds once sold about 30% of its Tesla holding for clients, but he kept all of his own shares.

Speaker
Ron Baron, Baron Capital
Role
Investor
Source
CNBC Squawk Box: Ron Baron on the tech selloff and Tesla
Format
Interview
Date
Nov 14, 2025
Checked
Oct 15, 2026

Voice details · not SEC data. As stated on Nov 14, 2025; the view may have changed.

Paul MeeksInvestorOct 24, 2025Skeptical

Our summary: After Tesla's earnings Meeks said he remains bearish, citing rising competition among EV and robotaxi players and arguing the EV business is worth under 20% of the share price.

CNBC interview ›
Details ⓘ
Speaker
Paul Meeks, Freedom Capital Markets
Role
Investor
Source
CNBC
Format
TV interview
Date
Oct 24, 2025
Checked
Oct 15, 2026

Voice details · not SEC data. As stated on Oct 24, 2025; the view may have changed.

All 4 Voices on Tesla ›

Business

How does Tesla make money?

Automotive is 86.5% of revenue.

What is left of every $100?

Of every $100 in revenue, $4 is net income.

Where do customers sit?

50.2% of revenue is from United States.

United States50.2%
China22.1%
Other countries27.7%
In the company’s words ›

“We intend to leverage our current operations, in which we design, develop, manufacture, sell and lease high-performance fully electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems that increasingly deliver AI-related and enhanced software and services to our customers, to achieve that objective.”

“We generally sell our products directly to customers, and continue to grow our global retail, service and charging footprint to accelerate the widespread adoption of our products.”

“We emphasize performance, attractive styling and the safety of our users and workforce in the design and manufacture of our products and are continuing to develop full self-driving technology for improved safety.”

Item 1 · Business · 10-K · 0001628280-26-003952 · filed Jan 29, 2026

Where did the growth actually come from?

Automotive drove 86% of Tesla’s growth.

Thesis

Why do people invest?

2 reasons in the company’s own words.

  • Energy generation and storage revenue +27%
    “Energy generation and storage revenue increased $2.69 billion, or 27%, in the year ended December 31, 2025 as compared to the year ended December 31, 2024 primarily due to increases in Megapack and Powerwall deployments, partially offset by a decrease in average selling price of Megapack.”

    Item 7 · MD&A · 10-K · 0001628280-26-003952 · filed Jan 29, 2026

    Number check (Energy revenue): stated $2.7B matches the stored change ($2.7B, ±10%)

    Energy revenue: $12.8B · 13.5% of revenue · FY2025 · Revenue charts

  • R&D +41%
    “R&D expense increased $1.87 billion, or 41%, in the year ended December 31, 2025 as compared to the year ended December 31, 2024, primarily due to increases in costs related to AI and other programs as we continue to expand our product roadmap and technologies and an increase in stock-based compensation of $500 million.”

    Item 7 · MD&A · 10-K · 0001628280-26-003952 · filed Jan 29, 2026

    Number check (R&D expense): stated $1.9B matches the stored change ($1.9B, ±10%)

    R&D expense: $6.4B FY2025 · +41.2% vs FY2024 · Profitability charts

KPIs

How fast is revenue growing?

Revenue fell 2.9% to $94.8B.

Did the growth reach the shareholder?

Per share, revenue grew 14.7%.

How profitable is it?

4.6% operating margin, down from 7.2%.

How much cash does it make, and where does it go?

Free cash flow: $6.2B.

How strong is the balance sheet?

$16.5B cash vs $8.4B debt.

What drives the business?

Deliveries fell 8.6% to 1.6M vehicles.

Dependencies

Who does Tesla depend on?

No customer above the disclosure threshold.

Customers, suppliers, stakes and mentions ›

Only what filings state. Anonymous customers stay anonymous.

Largest customers (Tesla annual report)

No customer with a reported share of revenue (the 10-K names none above the disclosure threshold).

Suppliers named by Tesla

No supplier among the covered companies is named in the filings.

Tesla holds stakes in

No stake in a covered company found in SEC filings.

Others name Tesla

1 competitor mention (e.g. Uber) · 1 other mention (e.g. STMicroelectronics) in covered companies’ filings. Mentions, not confirmed relationships.

Risks

What could go wrong?

4 of 44 risk factors, one per theme.

  • Supply chain and manufacturing
    “We may experience issues or delays in developing, launching and ramping the production of our products, services and features, or we may be unable to control our manufacturing costs.”

    Item 1A · Risk Factors · 10-K · 0001628280-26-003952 · filed Jan 29, 2026

  • Competition
    “We face strong competition for our products and services from a growing list of established and new competitors.”

    Item 1A · Risk Factors · 10-K · 0001628280-26-003952 · filed Jan 29, 2026

  • Trade, government policy and geopolitics
    “We face risks associated with maintaining and expanding our international operations, including unfavorable and uncertain regulatory, political, economic, tax and labor conditions.”

    Item 1A · Risk Factors · 10-K · 0001628280-26-003952 · filed Jan 29, 2026

  • Security, defects and outages
    “Our business may suffer if our products or features contain defects, fail to perform as expected or take longer than expected to become fully functional.”

    Item 1A · Risk Factors · 10-K · 0001628280-26-003952 · filed Jan 29, 2026

Who’s invested

Who owns more than 5%?

Musk Elon holds 19.9%.

  • Musk Elon19.9%

    13G/A · as of Jun 16, 2026 · filed Jun 17, 2026

  • Vanguard Capital Management LLC5.61%

    13G · as of Mar 31, 2026 · filed Apr 30, 2026

  • BlackRock Inc.5.9% (then)

    13G/A · filed Jan 29, 2024 · older than 18 months, current position unknown

13F holders and insider trades ›

Largest institutional holders, 13F, quarter ending Jun 30, 2026

  • BlackRock, Inc.12.7%

    214.1M shares · 13F filed Aug 7, 2026 · share of 13F-reported

  • Vanguard Capital Management LLC10.9%

    184.0M shares · 13F filed Aug 13, 2026 · share of 13F-reported

  • State Street Corp7.0%

    117.5M shares · 13F filed Aug 7, 2026 · share of 13F-reported

  • Geode Capital Management, LLC4.1%

    68.9M shares · 13F filed Aug 12, 2026 · share of 13F-reported

  • Invesco Ltd.3.3%

    55.5M shares · 13F filed Aug 14, 2026 · share of 13F-reported

4,291 13F filers report positions. 13F covers managers with over $100M in US equities; it is not a full shareholder list, and shares are not a percentage of shares outstanding. 1 large filing with inconsistent reported value per share left out.

Insiders, last 12 months (Form 4, open market)

0 purchases · 66 sales · $87.7M sold

Grants, gifts and tax withholding counted separately · window Oct 13, 2025 – Oct 13, 2026

All metrics

All metrics · 39 SEC metrics, FY2017–FY2026
Income statement 10
MetricFY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026
Cost of revenuenot reported
D&Anot reported
Gross profitnot reported
Income taxesnot reported
Interest expensenot reported
Net incomenot reported
Operating incomenot reported
Research and developmentnot reported
Revenuenot reported
SG&Anot reported
Balance sheet 9
MetricFY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026
Cash and equivalentsnot reported
Current liabilitiesnot reported
Equitynot reported
Equity incl. NCInot reported
Long-term debtnot reported
Short-term debt (balance sheet line)not reported
Total assetsnot reported
Total debt calc.not reported
Total liabilities & equitynot reported
Cash flow 5
MetricFY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026
Capexnot reported
Free cash flow calc.not reported
Interest paidnot reported
Operating cash flownot reported
Stock-based compensationnot reported
Per share & shares 4
MetricFY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026
EPS basicnot reported
EPS dilutednot reported
Wtd. shares basicnot reported
Wtd. shares dilutednot reported
Segments 1
MetricFY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026
Segment revenue Energy Generation & Storagenot reported
Other 10
MetricFY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026
Aktive FSD-Abonnements (Tesla)not reportednot reportednot reportednot reportednot reported
Auslieferungen Model 3/Y calc.not reported
Deferred revenue software/connectivity (Tesla)not reportednot reportednot reportednot reported
Deliveries of other models (Other Models, formerly Model S/X) calc.not reported
Energy storage deployed (GWh)not reported
NCI incomenot reported
Other income (incl. interest) calc.not reported
Pretax incomenot reported
Total deliveries calc.not reported
Total liabilitiesnot reported